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What’s a “Zero-Day” Attack? A Diagram of the Vulnerability Timeline

Can you tell me more about zero-day drive-by attacks? I experienced one on my fully updated and patched Windows computer (automatic Windows Update ON), which has the latest anti-malware tools. I saw the hacked behavior and immediately turned off my computer. Scanning both before and after this attack showed no prior or present malware infection. Is this the best response for such attacks, as it appears to have successfully prevented malware infection by this drive-by attack that I experienced?

The very nature of “zero day” exploits is that your virus scanner would show that you were clean both before and after being infected.

It’s not until your anti-virus software provider updates their virus databases and you take that update that your scanner knows what to look for.

Yes, that means you may still be infected.

Let’s go through the timeline that got you here.

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What's a 'Zero-Day' Attack?

A zero-day attack is malware discovered “in the wild” that leverages a known but as yet unfixed vulnerability in software. Typically, anti-malware tools are unaware of the malware and/or the vulnerability. The term comes from having “zero days” to fix it before damage can occur.

Vulnerabilities exist

There are undiscovered security vulnerabilities in Windows (and in all operating systems).

If no one knows about them, it’s not an immediate threat. Hackers can’t exploit what they don’t know.

Who discovers the vulnerability first is important.

Discovery by “the good guys”

When a good guy discovers a vulnerability, they often keep it a secret so malware authors can’t start to exploit it.

Instead, they contact Microsoft privately, informing them of the issue so a fix can be distributed before the vulnerability becomes general knowledge.

They sometimes indicate that details will be made public after a certain amount of time. This is intended as an incentive for Microsoft to resolve the issue. For example, they might give Microsoft 90 days to release a fix.

Discovery by “the bad guys”

If a malware author or hacker discovers the vulnerability, they also try to keep it secret so Microsoft doesn’t learn about and fix it. Instead, they release malware exploiting the vulnerability so they can infect systems before anyone knows.

If malware exploiting a vulnerability is discovered “in the wild” before a fix is available, then Microsoft has zero days to fix the problem. Hence, it’s called a “zero-day” exploit, vulnerability, or attack.

The vulnerability timeline

Let’s look at the timeline a little more closely.

Zero-Day Timeline

Vulnerability Introduced. 99 times out of 100, this is a simple programming error or oversight that could have happened years ago. If no one knows about it, there’s no one to exploit it, so it remains benign.

Vulnerability Discovered by Hackers. Once discovered, the race is on. Hackers try to keep it to themselves for as long as possible so as to delay any fix.

This begins what I call the Window of Complete Vulnerability: there’s a vulnerability, there is malware exploiting it that anti-malware software cannot yet detect, and there is no fix. There’s little you can do.

Malware Exploiting Vulnerability Discovered. At some point, the existence of the problem becomes public knowledge, usually when someone finds and reverse-engineers the malware.

Anti-malware Detection Updated. As new malware is discovered, anti-malware tool vendors add information to their databases so the program can detect it. This is why it’s so critical to keep your anti-malware databases as up to date as possible. Without the latest updates, your scanners will not know how to detect the latest threats.

This begins what I call the period of Partial Vulnerability. The malware can now be detected and blocked by anti-malware tools. This is only partial safety, though, because the vulnerability in the operating system has not yet been fixed. New malware will be written making use of the same vulnerability, attempting to stay one step ahead of the anti-malware vendors.

Vulnerability Fixed. At some point, Microsoft releases a patch fixing the underlying problem and removing the vulnerability. Systems that take the update including the fix are now safe. Malware attempting to exploit the vulnerability on those systems will fail. This is why it’s important to make sure your operating system is updated regularly.

It’s a race. In the best case scenario, Microsoft has time to release a patch to prevent a vulnerability from being exploited.

Unfortunately, it’s common they have zero days to do so, because the vulnerability is already being maliciously exploited.

Zero-day response

If you find yourself in this situation:

  • Restore your computer to a backup image taken before the infection.
  • If you don’t have a backup, try a system restore to a point prior to the infection. This isn’t guaranteed, but depending on the specific malware involved, it might help.
  • Check with your anti-malware tool vendor immediately. Update the tool’s database and perform a full scan. Keep updating regularly; I recommend daily.
  • If you can, figure out what you did to allow the infection, and if possible, don’t do it again.
  • Take system updates regularly in the hopes that the vulnerability will be resolved quickly.

It’s all about the race between anti-malware tools, hackers, and software vendors.

Occasionally, it’s the users who lose.

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Leo

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13 comments on “What’s a “Zero-Day” Attack? A Diagram of the Vulnerability Timeline”

  1. The Drive-by Attack, probably a Zero-Day one (as my computer was fully updated and patched) that I experienced, attempted a download of malware which I successfully aborted before its completion by switching my computer off manually. In such a case would there be a possiblity of malware infection?

    Reply
  2. —–BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE—–
    Hash: SHA1

    It seems unlikely that you’d be infected, but there’s really no way to know
    *for certain* that you’re not. Did you turn it off in time? How would you know?

    Leo

    —–BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE—–
    Version: GnuPG v1.4.7 (MingW32)

    iD8DBQFHL8YOCMEe9B/8oqERAtI6AJ9+bx1aqZ+9ndWyBC2S/2CjLMOlhwCeJv/K
    U9wiJESKNrv8cq3WGDtzEXQ=
    =2Req
    —–END PGP SIGNATURE—–

    Reply
  3. several of us in the household and friends that come over have Yahoo email accounts, we’ll use the email and then it’ll start to ask if we want to “link” our accounts. NO NO NO we do not, is there some way to stop this?

    Reply
  4. Leo didn’t address one part of the question, the “drive-by attack” part. Like for the word virus, drive-by attack may mean different things for different people. I define “drive-by” as malware that does not require any abnormal or confirmation action by the user in order to infect the computer. Like for zero-days, true drive-by attacks are relatively rare but get much higher attention because of their potential virulence. The Wanna Cry worm was a example of drive-by attack, the user literally only had to have their computer on a LAN to be infected. (Conversely, Wanna Cry was *not* a zero-day virus, the exploited Windows vulnerability had been both known and patched.)

    As noted, there is very little an end user can do in the face of a zero-day drive-by attack other than the standard advice: keep your operating system *and* applications updated. It’s not just Windows that can get infected, it’s Adobe Reader and Flash, it’s Java and MS Office, and it’s your third-party browser and unsecured Wifi connection. And certainly don’t make it even easier by opening unknown attachments or files, clicking on links to unknown web pages, or believing everything you read on the Internet.

    Reply
  5. Very good article, and I’ll add another category of good guys, who can also occasionally wreak havoc : intelligence agencies. As we have seen recently, they hoard vulnerabilities in order to attack bad guys (which is, I hasten to add, a good thing) ; however, in so doing they run the risk of being hacked themselves, and the vulnerabilities being used by bad guys against good guys — us. Which is what happened in the last few weeks.

    Reply
    • If the “good guys” are hoarding the vulnerabilities they discover, they can probably defend themselves against those exploits. The bad thing is that they don’t want those patched on our machines.

      Reply
  6. Years ago when I was running Windows 98 a program called “Go Back” existed. With that program, deleted files could be recovered and/or the entire system could revert to a point of time in the past–much better than System Restore–eliminating malware as if it never happened. It worked flawlessly. Whatever became of that program?

    Reply
    • Not sure about GoBack, but it sounds like a good backup regimen would achieve the same results. Also: System Restore was never intended to restore files. It’s basically a glorified registry backup.

      Reply
  7. What are your thoughts on using “white list” virus/malware protection rather than the traditional black list approach. In this approach, only programs that are listed as good in the virus protection software are allowed to run, so no bad new apps can run to infect your computer. I’ve been using PC Pitstop’s PC Matic Supershield for years and have not had any virus/malware issues since I started using it.

    Reply
    • Well, I’ve been using only Windows built in security for years and I’ve never had a virus/malware issue since using it either. 🙂 Those kinds of one-off personal experiences, while nice, aren’t really a way to evaluate a particular tool’s usefulness for others.

      I’ve been leery of the whitelist approach, since it requires approval for anything that’s not on the list. Think UAC, but for any application you run and/or install for the first time that isn’t on some master list. In a way I’d be concerned that people get trained to click “yeah, yeah, ok” the same way they’ve been trained to basically ignore UAC and click OK when it comes up. It gets treated as an annoyance rather than the true security measure that it is.

      Given how much random stuff I run, for example, I’d not choose a white-list tool for myself.

      All that being said, though, there are a couple of scenarios where I think a whitelist tool makes a TON of sense:

      • That family member you support that can’t be trusted. Smile. Particularly if bypassing the whitelist is something that can be disabled.
      • Corporate. All over this for corporate and business situations where the stakes are generally higher, the expectations of employees are higher, and the IT department really needs to know that folks can’t do random things on company equipment. I’d expect that whitelist to be paired down, then, to allow only company-approved applications and no more.

      But I’d be concerned that for most users it might be too intrusive. But if it works for you, great. The approach is a very solid one.

      Reply
      • I hear what you are saying and that is the usual “bad press” that “whitelist” anti-virus programs seem to get. However, in all the years I’ve been using the program I have never encountered a program that would not run and while I would not suppose that I run anywhere near the number or variety of programs that you run in your line of work, I consider myself way more than an average user. So I believe that the “whitelist” anti-virus software has a very extensive list of software programs that are already whitelisted for the everyday user. Additionally, for that rare occurrence where an app might not run that I need, I would rather wait 24 hours to get it approved and on the list, than to be down or have problems for multiple days because I encountered a “Zero Day” attack while waiting for an app to be identified and added to a “blacklist” anti-virus program (though I do back-up and image regularly so I should be back up quickly if something happens). Anyway, I appreciate your thoughts and all the work that you do to keep us all advised on how to “compute” safely. Thanks for all your hard work!!!

        Reply
  8. Windows 10 now uses whitelisting by default. Whenever I wanted to download a program which isn’t in the Windows Store, I used to get a warning that it isn’t in the Store and may be dangerous. I don’t install a lot and I know my sources so I turned that feature off. I supposed for many users, this can be a useful safety feature and for others, it’s another reason to hate MS for being overprotective.

    Reply
    • I believe that’s different. True “whitelisting” is at the application level. This version of photoshop is allowed to run, that one isn’t until it’s been added to the whitelist, for example.

      What I believe Windows is doing is based on trusted signing. So applications from Adobe (again, for example) are allowed without question, while applications from Joe’s Discount Software Factory are not. Naturally applications in the Microsoft store would have to be signed by a trusted source to even get in.

      Reply

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